My Residential Management Predictions for 2016

Belated Happy New Year to all, I think it is going to be a very exciting one.

Now amazingly in its 5th year, this is my prediction of what is going to be important for residential property managers in the coming year. Some themes just keep recurring and residential management is set for unprecedented changes. This is my take on those recurrent themes:

1. Are we training our teams to manage yesterday’s model? This was the theme of the IRPM Fellow's Day late last year. It remains an important current theme. Things are changing. Better value, retention and reputation comes from doing a good job that focuses on the tenant (read customer) and not just the client. We have been training property managers to act solely in accordance with the lease and prevailing statute but ignoring the softer skills that are needed for a new world of consumer confidence, education and social media. New managers are very different animals in 2016.
2. Service and customer focused residential asset managers - not just 'block managers' but experts in a much wider field that takes in communities, placemaking and customer care whilst understanding the built environment sufficiently to add value to residential assets at all levels. In a market where high quality rental environments are likely to become a real alternative option, competing to have the best managed most attractive properties with real kerb appeal becomes an necessity. 
3. Institutional PRS - purpose built to rent. Try as I might I cannot get the numbers to stack up, particularly given interest rates will only go one way and margins for retailing long leases remain fairly strong. However, the evidence remains overwhelmingly against me and this year is the year that will prove the genuine interest that is out there is not all talk. Expect rents to be the highest you've seen. If the model does work then we will see real large scale investment - but it needs a few more years to prove itself and there are other obvious factors at play. Housing Associations will probably lead the way outside London. 
4. The rise of the Housing Association in the private sector - as above. The world of the social landlord is being shaken up, no more automatic rent increases, fewer S.106 opportunities for starter homes, less subsidy. I anticipate more HAs stating that 'we are providers of housing - in any form that takes' not 'we are providers of social housing'. Is it now their aim to assist in meeting the annual housing shortfall by any means?  Let's not forget, top 50 providers aside, the average number of new homes HAs develop each year is around 15.... Social rented property is potentially declining whilst property for private rental is increasing. Their model is being forced through very significant changes.
5. Partnership - always one of my favourite themes - expect to hear more about how managing agents and housing associations can better work together on mixed tenure developments. Meetings are taking place. The word 'partnership' will be used alot... sadly, we remain mired in suspicion of eachother (we need to grow up) so alot of hard work is still needed.
6. The rise of mixed tenure - this is ongoing but continuing from last year, there will be much talk of truly integrating communities and making them work for social and private renters, owners, part owners and families who are inevitably springing up as a new factor in flats - people simply cannot afford to move on. Expect the demise of signs saying 'No Ball Games'. ..Expect practical steps to get communities talking and working together. Expect managing agents to have an important role in this.
7. CHP - a new local way to power schemes with built in savings....lots of schemes will push the green button on their big plants. Fingers crossed! The Heat Network (Metering and Billing) Regulations 2014 will begin to impact how we measure supply and pass on costs, I suspect many are not yet geared up for this complicated piece of regulation. 
8. Over here... - Here come the big multi-family providers from the US. And their trade association, the NAA.
9. A different model - the rise of the new style agents. Those who now put customers at the centre of their operations and add proper value will surge ahead. The US model will (if not already) change the way managers behave. More importantly it will affect landlords and what they offer and how they chose to manage.
10. ARMA Q - it really does have teeth - expect to see them bared in 2016. It also is becoming  a common requirement in tenders that I see. No, I dont know who the new CEO of ARMA is, best kept secret in the leakiest industry ever.

We managing agents still underestimate and undersell ourselves.  It takes experience, time and constant training to deliver a good professional service and we sometimes dismiss how important our role in building communities is.  A modern development may contain every type of tenure and we need to understand the practicalities of dealing with every one of them.  Our service needs to reflect that but also incorporate the same level of service for all - not just for our clients.  We need to anticipate the way the market is changing and adapt for the future, not just react when the change has taken place. Those who have adopted portfolio and asset management skills, learnt to be customer focused and efficient in response will be ready for new and very high standards that will be set by the PRS suppliers who succeed. 

The new players in our sector include HAs, who are now delivering in the PRS, qualifying for IRPM in leasehold and joining ARMA. U.S. multi-family specialists will build and manage to a standard that we must aspire to match or beat. Institutional investors who are currently putting countless millions in residential assets will require exceptionally skilled residential asset managers. Most of all, residential managing agents need to learn and adopt best practice from the new players in our markets and adapt or quickly be left behind.