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| AI, AI, meet your new Property Manager... |
No one will be surprised at the outcome of the recent consultation; consumers call for an end to feudal leasehold, managing agents welcome more regulation. Yawn.
The real solution lies in pushing professional managing agents, removing a small number of rogues by creating some strict membership requirements and increasing barriers to entry. Add to this some real education and information for all stakeholders.
For every story of mismanagement, rip-off fees and criminality there are many thousands of success stories, added value and risk mitigation. As an industry our PR is appalling - start telling the good stories and shouting them loud. Many built environments are positively enhanced by the activities of managing agents. Why are we scared to shout about it?
2. More leasehold flats will be built - leasehold is not going away anytime soon (we have seen the back of houses though). Multi- tenure developments are difficult for HAs without the leasehold system. This is because leasehold works well with shared ownership and we all know that shared ownership is growing exponentially. Whether or not that is a good thing, I will visit in a later blog.
Additionally, look at who is investing in freeholds. Pension funds (benefiting a large swathe of the population) with a long term interest in looking after their assets and protecting their reputation. This is resulting in a sea change in the way that property is be managed - more accountable, more transparent, more community driven and therefore more valued. High quality oversight has arrived already, regardless of any future additional regulation.
3. Your clients are changing. Many of them are local authorities or housing associations or hybrid niche developers working with the aforementioned. They have very different ambitions for their customers. They see themselves as placemakers and want to remain embedded in their communities for many years. Managing agents need to be changing too. Some are.
4. Disruptors to leasehold management - it's not just pressure groups, all party parliamentary groups or negative press coverage - its the new approaches to management that will be driven by new entrants into PRS, student and multi tenure housing including hoteliers, venture capitalists, pension funds, US multi family providers. They are not like traditional landlords. They will not behave in the received way. This is a good thing.
5. Community Engagement is the new buzzword! But actions speak louder than words. Expect to be asked to evidence your actual, real, community activities.
6. Housing Associations - work with them? Ignore them? Watch them fill your space? They are better funded and more sophistcated than you ever imagined and will represent a significant part of the future residential management market/opportunity. Get to understand them. How can managing agents improve their relationships with HAs?
7. Commonhold Mark II - A revisit to the original Commonhold and Leasehold reform act is long overdue. Some straightforward amendments could make Commonhold more workable. But, without an element of compulsion or reward, it will remain a distant second to the established system for decades to come.
8. The price for fully compliant, transparent and responsive management is going up... customers will pay for accountable and expert management if they can see measured results.
9. PRS - it's big, it's here, it needs expert property managers - expect owner/developers to come raiding your team for the best soon.
10. Artificial Intelligence - we operate in a people dependent sector. How much do you think could be done by AI? Have a good think about this - a huge percentage of what we do relies on accurate input and output. Robots do processing better, they are always correct and can work 24/7.
Early adopters will steal the market.
11. Grenfell - When I was a kid my Nan lived on 21st floor of Stebbing House, just down the road from Grenfell Tower. I spent my summers living there and working as a City foot messenger throughout my teens. I was also at school and in the same year as Eddie Daffarn, the blogger who warned of an impending disaster at Grenfell and was, allegedly, ignored. I am also a property manager and so, like many, I feel a connection to this tragedy, the saddest and most significant residential tragedy in my lifetime.
Have I ever brushed off a cry for help from a resident because it seems to be absurd, exaggerated or unlikely to transpire? Would I do so in the future? No. We must ask ourselves the Grenfell question every time someone suggests something unlikely is possible.
In future agents must be appointed principally not only because of their professionalism and expertise but also because they demonstrably listen to and reflect upon comments and concerns from within the communities whose homes they manage. Sadly this has been the worst way to have to recognise the importance of professional property management and its impact on our built environment.
I would hope that this industry's destructive race to the bottom has now concluded. A more thoughtful, intelligent future beckons.
DCLG Update
Just after I make my predictions along come the DCLG with a statement that includes: making certain that ground rents on new long leases – for both houses and flats – are set at zero. I had been told that this might happen (by someone close to discussions) but found it hard to believe - after all this will potentially impact the value of the existing leasehold market and has damaging consequences around risk and costs. However the detail is a long way from complete and the statement includes reference to exceptions that are being discussed with the industry. Surely controlling starting ground rent values and reviews, along with promoting a workable commonhold solution as an alternative route is the way forward?
